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Tesla Q3 Earnings Anticipation Drives Options Market Volatility

Tesla Q3 Earnings Anticipation Drives Options Market Volatility

Published:
2025-10-21 18:54:02
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BTCCSquare news:

Tesla's third-quarter earnings report, due October 22, is expected to trigger a 7.25% stock price swing—significantly higher than its historical post-earnings average movement of -1.24%. The elevated implied volatility reflects market uncertainty around EV demand, pricing strategy, and progress in Tesla's Optimus robot and full self-driving initiatives.

Despite a 34% stock rally over the past three months—fueled by rebounding deliveries and AI/robotics optimism—analysts project mixed results: $26.33 billion revenue (up 5% YoY) alongside a 24% decline in EPS to $0.55. The options market suggests traders are bracing for disproportionate downside risk versus Tesla's typical earnings reaction.

|Square

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