Tesla Q3 Earnings Anticipation Drives Options Market Volatility
Tesla's third-quarter earnings report, due October 22, is expected to trigger a 7.25% stock price swing—significantly higher than its historical post-earnings average movement of -1.24%. The elevated implied volatility reflects market uncertainty around EV demand, pricing strategy, and progress in Tesla's Optimus robot and full self-driving initiatives.
Despite a 34% stock rally over the past three months—fueled by rebounding deliveries and AI/robotics optimism—analysts project mixed results: $26.33 billion revenue (up 5% YoY) alongside a 24% decline in EPS to $0.55. The options market suggests traders are bracing for disproportionate downside risk versus Tesla's typical earnings reaction.